Sunday, March 29, 2020

Fauci's Spiraling Predictions: First it was Up to 1.7 M Virus Deaths now Down to Up to 200,000 Deaths, But in 2017: 80,000 Deaths from Flu

On March 15, Dr. Anthony Fauci's model for forecasting possible deaths said according to the NewsMax headline:

"Dr. Fauci: Worst-Case Scenario Up to 1.7 M [Million] Deaths from Coronavirus 'Possible.'"

Today, two weeks later, Faucis' new downward spiraling model prediction according to the Axios headline is:

 "Fauci says 100,000 to 200,000 could die from coronavirus."

The doctor's downward spiraling predictions in two weeks went down approximately over 80% from up to 1,700,000 to up to 200,000 which if the same current trajectory wave is consistent would mean in two more weeks the "possible" death toll would go down from up to 200,000 to approximately up to 40,000."

The Catholic Monitor model of Faucis' predictions on the downward spiral of the doctor's forecasts is more conservative on the coronavirus "possible" death toll than the above and predicts that in two weeks the forecast can forewarn that according to this conservative trajectory wave there will be:

50,000 to 100,000 possible deaths.

And the model in four weeks predicts that the "possible" death toll will be:

25,000 to 50,000.

A Stats News' 2018 headline stated:

"CDC: 80,000 people died of flu last winter in U.S.."

Remember Fauci's downward spiraling predictions NOW says "100,000 to 200,000 could die from coronavirus" which can be compared not with supposedly worst-case scenarios, but the real factual 80,000 flu deaths of 2017 which didn't cause the banning of Mass and the shut down of the country.

Moreover, Web MD says "5% to 20%... of the U.S. population... get the flu, on average, each year."

The United States population is approximately 300 million so 15 million to 60 million people in our country on average get the flu every year.

Why didn't they ban Masses in 2017 and shut down the country?

Why don't they ban Masses and shut down the country every years since there must be a model somewhere predicting that every year due to those 15 million to 60 million people who get the flu there could "possibly" be 80,000 deaths from the flu every year and there might be a model somewhere "possibly" predicting 200,000 to 1.7 million deaths which as the facts come in can spiral downward?

With almost one third of the year over, today, the CBS headline says "U.S. [coronavirus] deaths top 2,100." And approximately half of the deaths are coming from New York State.

Pray an Our Father now for the restoration of the Mass and the Church as well as for the Triumph of the Kingdom of the Sacred Heart of Jesus and the Immaculate Heart of Mary.

Also, pray an Our Father now for God to give President Trump to grace to do His will in this present crisis.

3 comments:

Alexis Bugnolo said...

Alas, now with Trumps irrational extension of the stay at home decree, I fear the American republic has come to an end.

Unknown said...

See also this:
Why Taiwan has become an embarrassing problem for the WHO
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-52088167
Ivan

Fred Martinez said...

Thanks